Are rate hikes deepening Pakistan\'s debt trap?
Amid the post-Covid massive inflationary spiral, the fiscally suffocated government with limited days of foreign exchange reserves became massively dependent on the domestic debt market to finance their massive deficits, and amid rising inflation they had to issue massive amount of floating-rate, long-tenor debt instruments to manage extreme rollover risk. For reference, the total cumulative issuance of semi-annual floating Pakistan Investment Bonds (PIBs) increased from less than Rs1 trillion in 2020 to more than Rs14 trillion in 2024, and is currently more than Rs22 trillion. Floating-rate instruments constitute approximately 70% of all domestic sovereign debt.